According to senior financial services professionals polled by valuation and corporate finance advisor, Duff & Phelps, financial regulation has done little to improve stability in the financial services market. The survey of nearly 200 professionals commissioned by Duff & Phelps demonstrates that 35% of respondents – believe recent regulation has had little or no impact on financial stability, with 17% stating that regulation has actually made the financial services world less stable.
Kinetic Partners, now the Compliance and Regulatory Consulting Division of Duff & Phelps, has been publishing the Global Regulatory Outlook report since 2012. The fifth annual Global Regulatory Outlook report also revealed that, a decade on from the financial crisis of 2007/8, just 10% of senior executives surveyed say they believe changes to regulation have fully addressed the risk of a future crash.
55% of respondents agree that the risk has been partly addressed by new regulations – but 33% don’t believe the regulatory framework has adequately created safeguards to prevent a future crisis. With President Trump committed to reviewing Dodd-Frank and the future regulatory framework of the London market uncertain due to Brexit, financial regulation may be about shift once more for banks and fund managers.
Julian Korek, Global Head of Compliance and Regulatory Consulting at Duff & Phelps, comments on the findings:
“More needs to be done to build stability in financial services and ensure the system is resilient in future, for both banks and the alternative investment industry. Even now, a decade on, most people in the financial services sector are not confident that the risks that caused the crisis have really been managed. The major regulatory bodies have been very clear about future areas of focus and concern, but the fact that so many still think there is potential for another crash is worrying – even without Trump or Brexit potentially taking the market down a quite different regulatory path.”
Despite these challenges, the survey revealed that the industry believes financial regulation is having a positive effect on the investment community – only 6% believe financial regulation has reduced investor confidence, whilst 42% believe regulations have helped cement investor confidence.
However, only 23% of the executives surveyed believe that regulators have created effective global regulatory frameworks, although 57% do believe that regulators are better at collaborating and coordinating across borders.
Effective cross-broader collaboration will be essential for fund managers in particular post-Brexit, especially for those based in non-EU jurisdictions looking to be assessed as equivalent under the Alternative Investment Fund Managers Directive (AIFMD). The European Commission is currently reviewing recommendations issued by the European Securities and Markets Authority on the application of the (AIFMD) marketing passport for non-EU markets, meaning the future of the financial passport is still unclear.
As such, the 2017 Global Regulatory Outlook report shows most firms (62%) agree that Brexit will have an impact on their compliance arrangements, though it is not clear whether this will be felt in the short or long term. More than a third (35%) believe that Brexit will have a short term impact on compliance arrangements, whilst a quarter (27%) expect the impact to be felt in over 18 months.