As flagged in its July trading update, Trackwise Designs' H121 group revenues increased by 71% y-o-y to £4.1m, reflecting the acquisition of Stevenage Circuits in March 2020 and a doubling of IHT revenues, while adjusted EBITDA quadrupled to £0.5m. Management notes the group remains on track to meet market FY21 expectations despite supply chain disruption, so we leave our FY21 and FY22 estimates broadly unchanged.

While our peer multiples-based analysis shows Trackwise trading at a premium to its peers on all metrics, this approach fails to recognise the potential of the IHT business so we have augmented it with a scenario analysis, which is presented in our initiation note. This explores how each of the three key segments in which Trackwise has developed prototype IHT products for customers (EVs, medical devices and aerospace) has the potential to generate revenues of at least £100m at even relatively modest levels of market penetration.